Being perfectionists keen to build a better world Labour has a
dreadful propensity to blame itself when things go wrong. Now having just lost
an election we hope to win instead of hounding the government for its inevitable failure to keep promises it made
in desperation, attempting the impossible on Europe and positing everything on
an economic recovery which is petering we've decided to fall apart fighting in
lumps about our own failings, our leadership and our mistakes in the election.
At a time like this post mortems are as useful
as a dose of clap.
Daft! Victory as a hundred claimants, defeat a thousand blamers
but the Tories won badly not big in a
contest which favoured them anyway because one term governments usually get a
second chance We did some daft things
like the Ed stone(which should be sold to raise money for the party)and the
commitment not to deal with the SNP but then so did the Tories;it's only
human.The real reasons for our defeat were three and the only one which was our fault was due
to a lack of confidence in ourselves rather than a policy failure.
First the Tories managed to create a fear of a weak Labour
government in hock to the SNP.Not our fault. Second they successfully distorted
our record and we let them by creating a myth that the last Labour government
was overspending. Those Labour fools who're now endorsing this should remember
that Osborne endorsed our spending proposals up to 2008, that the big borrowing
was to save the banks and that thanks to Brown's stimulus the economy was
growing faster in
Labour"s last quarter than it is now.Osborne's foolish
austerity killed all that. Third reason was that we offered neither hope not
nationalist enthusiasm in our anxiety to
be business friendly
Two of these reasons for defeat were our fault. We should have
rebutted the Tory distortions because they undermined confidence in us but we
hardly rebutted it because we were ashamed of Gordon Brown and committed
balancing the budget- which is a folly because budgets should be in deficit and
borrowing high in recession to boost demand and operate the multiplier. Why
didn't we? The second failure was even more disastrous Instead of offering
growth explaining how we'd get it by stimulating demand, investing in infrastructure and boosting manufacturing we just offered more of the same, in
austerity lite, so electors might think,why take the risk? They did.
Now all that's history except that its all getting distorted in
the debate between modernisers (who want to take us back to 1997) and the
"business friendly" (who want to move us further to the right and the
baffled unhappy rank and file. Why argue ourselves. An electorate which opted
to cling to nurse is now going to get more of the austerity it doesn't
particularly like. The government has
top deliver on tax cuts and the recovery is slowing but government has no idea
how to boost it because it was produced by low interest rates, high house
prices and 375 billion of quantitative
easing . Most EU countries are now growing faster, exports are failing the
pound over valued and productivity low. A 5% deficit in public revenues and a
6% deficit in trade won't be cured easily.
Then there's the other problem the Euro referendum. Cam hopes to
bring it forward. What is Labour to do ? Leaders want to support what will be
the government position ;vote to stay in With the same effect as our support
for the government in the Scottish referendum.No use pretending the EU is the
greatest thing since spliced lederhosen. A Labour government will face problems with
it: it costs too much, it prevents the
rebuilding of English fishing, the CAP hurts us and it will inhibit regional
policy and aid for industry to help re balance the economy. Spell them out and
demand that the government negotiate for them too. They won't get anything But
then Cam won't get his own demands either and it stops us becoming little Sir
Echo again.
A government with a majority of only 12 can't last. Many voted
for it uneasily. Its promises are predicated on a growth it won't get. People
gave it the benefit of the doubt but the doubt is very strong More austerity
will boost it not satisfy. The sensible response is to harry the life out of it. Not squabble among ourselves. Masochism is a psychological condition Not a strategy for victory .
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